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	<title>TechTag: predictions &#124; Tech &#124; TIME.com</title>
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		<title>TechTag: predictions &#124; Tech &#124; TIME.com</title>
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		<title>11 Things to Expect (or Not to Expect) from E3 2012</title>
		<link>http://techland.time.com/2012/06/01/1-things-to-expect-or-not-to-from-e3-2012/</link>
		<comments>http://techland.time.com/2012/06/01/1-things-to-expect-or-not-to-from-e3-2012/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 01 Jun 2012 18:29:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Matt Peckham</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Apps & Web]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Companies]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[E3 2012]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Game Time]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gaming & Culture]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Microsoft]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nintendo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Reviews & Features]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sony]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Video Games]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[E3]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[predictions]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://techland.time.com/?p=134602</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Here comes E3 2012, like Slim Pickens strapped to the world's fattest ballistic missile, carrying a bottomless Santa Claus tote full of goodies. Here's a rundown of what we're expecting from this year's show, along with a few things we're not.<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=techland.time.com&#038;blog=5290478&#038;post=134602&#038;subd=timenerdworld&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
	<primary_category>E3 2012</primary_category><primary_category_link>http://techland.time.com/category/e3-2012-2/</primary_category_link><featured_image>http://timenerdworld.files.wordpress.com/2012/06/fortune-teller.jpg?w=240</featured_image>
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			<media:title type="html">mattpeckham</media:title>
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	</item>
		<item>
		<title>Fact-Checking Digitimes, the Taiwanese Apple Rumor Source That Keeps Crying &#8216;Wolf!&#8217;</title>
		<link>http://techland.time.com/2012/05/14/digitimes-apple-rumors/</link>
		<comments>http://techland.time.com/2012/05/14/digitimes-apple-rumors/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 14 May 2012 09:47:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Harry McCracken</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Apple]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Companies]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rumors]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Technologizer]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[apple rumors]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[predictions]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://techland.time.com/?p=131819</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[This electronics site's Apple rumors consistently make news -- but are wrong far more often than they're right. Why does everyone continue to take them seriously?<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=techland.time.com&#038;blog=5290478&#038;post=131819&#038;subd=timenerdworld&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
	<primary_category>Apple</primary_category><primary_category_link>http://techland.time.com/category/companies-2/apple/</primary_category_link><featured_image>http://timenerdworld.files.wordpress.com/2012/05/digitimes.jpg?w=240</featured_image>
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			<media:title type="html">Digitimes</media:title>
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			<media:title type="html">hmccracken</media:title>
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			<media:title type="html">Jeane Dixon</media:title>
		</media:content>
	</item>
		<item>
		<title>Tech 2012: Please Don&#8217;t Call These Predictions</title>
		<link>http://techland.time.com/2011/12/15/tech-2012-please-dont-call-these-predictions/</link>
		<comments>http://techland.time.com/2011/12/15/tech-2012-please-dont-call-these-predictions/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 15 Dec 2011 13:14:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Harry McCracken</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Reviews & Features]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Technologizer]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[android]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[apple]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Facebook]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Google]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Microsoft]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[predictions]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://techland.time.com/?p=109915</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In the world of tech punditry, the month of December is practically synonymous with predictions about the year ahead. I try to opt out of the fun. I&#8217;m a sober, serious journalist, dammit&#8211;not the Amazing Kreskin! Besides, predictions are a no-win situation. If your prognostications are sure things, they&#8217;re hardly worth mentioning. If they&#8217;re wacky and surprising, they&#8217;re unlikely to come true. You end up either boring people or looking stupid. Or both. (MORE: Top 10 Gadgets of 2011) Still, I&#8217;m not above musing about what&#8217;s next for technology&#8211;what&#8217;s bound to happen, what I hope will happen and what I fear could happen. Herewith, some thoughts along those lines in nine categories. Windows 8 What we can assume will happen: By the end of the year&#8211;and maybe way before that&#8211;Microsoft will release its radically new, touch-centric operating system. (&#8220;Windows 8&#8243; is a code name: Its final moniker may be something else.) What I hope will happen: Well, first of all, I hope that Windows 8 will be good. (Microsoft released a test version in September, but it&#8217;s too rough and incomplete for a final verdict.) But even if it&#8217;s great, it&#8217;s so different from Windows 7 that it&#8217;s going to take many folks a while to understand it, let alone love it. Like the shift from Microsoft&#8217;s text-oriented DOS operating system to Windows, this one could take years to play out. I&#8217;d like to see everyone from consumers to businessfolk to tech pundits acknowledge that and demonstrate some patience with Microsoft&#8217;s big new idea. What I fear will happen: Windows 8 won&#8217;t catch on right away, and will be widely&#8211;and prematurely&#8211;declared to be a Vista-like debacle. (MORE: 50 Windows 8 Screenshots, Hardware Photos and More) Apple What we can assume will happen: Apple will release a new iPhone, a new iPad and some new Macs. (I refuse to speculate on any other items it might have up its sleeve for 2012.) What I hope will happen: With these products and other 2012 moves, Apple will make a statement about its post-Steve Jobs future.<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=techland.time.com&#038;blog=5290478&#038;post=109915&#038;subd=timenerdworld&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
	<primary_category>Technologizer</primary_category><primary_category_link>http://techland.time.com/category/technologizer/</primary_category_link><featured_image>http://timenerdworld.files.wordpress.com/2011/12/tech2012.png?w=240</featured_image>
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			<media:title type="html">Tech 2012</media:title>
		</media:content>

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			<media:title type="html">hmccracken</media:title>
		</media:content>
	</item>
		<item>
		<title>Apple&#8217;s iPad Poised to Dominate Through 2020?</title>
		<link>http://techland.time.com/2011/08/08/apples-ipad-poised-to-dominate-through-2020/</link>
		<comments>http://techland.time.com/2011/08/08/apples-ipad-poised-to-dominate-through-2020/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 08 Aug 2011 14:00:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Matt Peckham</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Apple]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Computers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gadgets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Smartphones]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tablets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ipad]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ipad 2]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[market share]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[predictions]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://techland.time.com/?p=93061</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Everything&#8217;s coming up roses for Apple&#8217;s iPad in 2011, and that&#8217;s bound to continue for at least the next decade or so, predicts Needham &#38; Company analyst Charlie Wolf. In fact the investment firm just bumped its target price for Apple&#8217;s stock to $540 and projects sales of 54 million iPads and 108 million iPhones in 2012. Is the guy nuts, or (ostensibly) prophetic? (LIST: Tablets: &#8216;Why Should Somebody Buy This Instead of an iPad?&#8217;) According to Wolf, the iPad has the market by the horns until at least 2020. This year, he says Apple&#8217;s tablet will walk off with a whopping 85% of the market. While that number declines rolling forward, it&#8217;ll still be as high as 72.5% (101 million units shipped) in 2015 and a still-majority 60% (140 million units shipped) when 2020 rolls around. Sound a mite Apple-blinkered? Wolf doesn&#8217;t think so. His argument: Apple has the edge in device streamlining, component costs and scads of apps. “Future tablets are more likely to steal share from one another than from the iPad,” says Wolf, arguing the alternative tablet market—currently jammed with models from Xoom, RIM, HP and others—is simply too crowded. &#8220;All of them have been greeted with a yawn and lackluster sales,&#8221; says Wolf. &#8220;None have been able to undercut the aggressively priced iPad, because the iPad’s component costs are materially lower than those of competing tablets. In the case of tablets, the only thing that matters—that turns what’s otherwise a slab into a versatile device—are the apps. And the applications available on the tablets introduced this year number at best in the hundreds. In comparison, more than 100,000 applications are available on the iPad.” By contrast, a DigiTimes note citing &#8220;market watchers&#8221; claims non-Apple tablet shipments are expected to grow 134% in 2012, compared with a forecast of just 55% for Apple&#8217;s iPad. The report suggests iPad demand is nearing saturation levels, and that while iPad shipments will increase from about 36 million units to about 55 million units in 2012, non-Apple tablet shipments will collectively increase from about<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=techland.time.com&#038;blog=5290478&#038;post=93061&#038;subd=timenerdworld&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
	<primary_category>Tablets</primary_category><primary_category_link>http://techland.time.com/category/gadgets/tablets/</primary_category_link>
		<media:content url="http://1.gravatar.com/avatar/13c760ad52f626fd6e40138d4c10e567?s=96&#38;d=http%3A%2F%2F1.gravatar.com%2Favatar%2Fad516503a11cd5ca435acc9bb6523536%3Fs%3D96&#38;r=G" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">mattpeckham</media:title>
		</media:content>
	</item>
		<item>
		<title>AT&amp;T Commercials From 1993 Eerily Comes True</title>
		<link>http://techland.time.com/2011/01/03/att-commercials-from-1993-eerily-comes-true/</link>
		<comments>http://techland.time.com/2011/01/03/att-commercials-from-1993-eerily-comes-true/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 03 Jan 2011 20:30:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Michelle Castillo</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[AT&T]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gaming & Culture]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[miscellany]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[predictions]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://techland.time.com/?p=61584</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Happy New Year! While most of you are making resolutions and predicting what&#8217;s going to happen, Buzzfeed has uncovered this gem from 1993 about the future of technology according to AT&#38;T. See if any of these &#8220;ideas&#8221; have become reality. The company said, &#8220;You will.&#8221; And, we did. We&#8217;re borrowing books from thousands of miles away with our e-readers, watching movies on demand and navigating without stopping for directions using our GPS devices. Of course, they also predicted that our laptops would stay just as heavy and we&#8217;d still be super reliant on sending faxes, but except for not predicting that AT&#38;T would be ranked the worst cell phone service of 2010, the company pretty much got everything right. By the way, is that guy sending a fax from a tablet? How did they even know tablets would exist? I think AT&#38;T should try making a commercial to tell us what will happen in the next decade. If they get it right the next time around, they must have a time machine or something. More on TIME.com: Verizon CEO: &#8220;There Are Too Many Players in the Industry&#8221; AT&#38;T, T-Mobile and Verizon Want Phones to Replace Credit Cards AT&#38;T Turns to Twitter for Tracking Spotty Service<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=techland.time.com&#038;blog=5290478&#038;post=61584&#038;subd=timenerdworld&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>10</slash:comments>
	<primary_category>Gaming &amp; Culture</primary_category><primary_category_link>http://techland.time.com/category/apps-web/gaming-%c2%a0culture/</primary_category_link>
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			<media:title type="html">mishscastillo</media:title>
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		<item>
		<title>Three Tech Anti-Predictions for 2010</title>
		<link>http://techland.time.com/2010/12/28/three-tech-anti-predictions-for-2010/</link>
		<comments>http://techland.time.com/2010/12/28/three-tech-anti-predictions-for-2010/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 28 Dec 2010 22:00:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Harry McCracken</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Gadgets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Home Entertainment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Portables]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Smartphones]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Technologizer]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[3D TV]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[android]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[iphone]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[predictions]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://techland.time.com/?p=61034</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[For my latest Technologizer column over at TIME.com, I peered ahead into 2011 and compiled a list of products and trends that should have an impact before the year is out. I tried to avoid making out-and-out predictions: I think that so much is unknowable that if your prognostications pan out it may be due to luck as much as anything else&#8230;and if they don&#8217;t, it doesn&#8217;t mean they were off base. But I&#8217;m not above making anti-predictions: predictions of things that won&#8217;t happen. I figure it&#8217;s at least a little safer than guessing at what will occur, since what you&#8217;re doing is betting against a change in the status quo. And so I&#8217;m hereby making these three antipredictions: 1. 3D TV won&#8217;t be a big deal. The industry desperately wants a Next Big Thing to replace HDTV, so I expect that the show floor at next month&#8217;s Consumer Electronics Show will look like a labyrinth constructed out of 3D flat-panels. But 3D remains gimmicky. Even at its best, it doesn&#8217;t look that great. And Hollywood is doing a lousy job of making content available&#8211;I mean, it&#8217;s just sad that you still can&#8217;t simply march into a store and buy 3D Avatar on Blu-Ray. Lots of consumers may wind up with 3D-compatible TVs, Blu-Ray players, and set-top boxes, but I think they&#8217;re not going to spend that much time wearing funny glasses in their own living rooms. 2. The iPhone won&#8217;t crumble. Some pundits are predicting that Android is about to trounce Apple&#8217;s iPhone in the same way that Windows trounced the Mac in the 1980s and 1990s, rendering Apple&#8217;s handsets as also-rans. I don&#8217;t see it happening. Yes, Android will have a larger share of the market&#8211;that&#8217;s a given considering that it&#8217;s on hundreds of devices. But smartphones are mostly about what you can do with them, and the iPhone has the best-integrated package of hardware, software, and services. It has the most vibrant app store and the widest selection of accessories. And it sells for about the same<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=techland.time.com&#038;blog=5290478&#038;post=61034&#038;subd=timenerdworld&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>4</slash:comments>
	<primary_category>Smartphones</primary_category><primary_category_link>http://techland.time.com/category/gadgets/smartphones/</primary_category_link>
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			<media:title type="html">hmccracken</media:title>
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	</item>
		<item>
		<title>An Interview With Ray Kurzweil</title>
		<link>http://techland.time.com/2010/04/02/an-interview-with-ray-kurzweil/</link>
		<comments>http://techland.time.com/2010/04/02/an-interview-with-ray-kurzweil/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 02 Apr 2010 15:08:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Doug Aamoth</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Health & Science]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Reviews & Features]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[TIME Interviews]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[predictions]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[science]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[technology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[the future]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://timenerdworld.wordpress.com/?p=21787</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In an interview with Techland, inventor and futurist Ray Kurzweil predicts the existence of machines with human-level intelligence by 2029, offers advice to inventors, and discusses how you can prepare yourself for the very real possibility of human immortality in the not-too-distant future. Dr. Kurzweil will be delivering a keynote address titled “Acceleration of Technology in the 21st Century: The Impact on Media, Communications, and Society” at the 2010 NAB Show in Las Vegas on Tuesday, April 13th. Techland: What were you like as a kid? What initially attracted you to technology? Kurzweil: I decided to be an inventor when I was five. My parents had given me a few various enrichment toys like erector sets and, for some reason, I had the idea that if I put things together just the right way I could create the intended effect. Although I didn’t have that vocabulary, I can remember the feeling that if you put something together the right way, you could do something magical. You could solve problems. You could solve any problem. And that reflected the philosophy and religion of my family; a belief in human ideas. No matter what problem you encounter, whether it’s a grand challenge for humanity or a personal problem of your own, there’s an idea out there that can overcome it. And you can find that idea. And it became personalized. You, Ray, can find the ideas to overcome challenges. I decided I would be an inventor when I was five and I was quite serious about it. Other kids were wondering what they were going to be and I always had this conceit; “I know what I’m going to be.” So I started working on these projects, trying to spend as much time on them as possible. When I was in school, I’d be holding the textbook but behind it I’d be working on my own projects. And it’s continued for the last half century. I’m still working on my projects. Techland: You are well known for your concept of “Technological Singularity.”<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=techland.time.com&#038;blog=5290478&#038;post=21787&#038;subd=timenerdworld&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>2</slash:comments>
	<primary_category>TIME Interviews</primary_category><primary_category_link>http://techland.time.com/category/reviews-features/time-interviews/</primary_category_link>
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